While not as yet so famous as some of his contemporaries,
Jason P. Dekker, CEO of Decker Capital Management,
has developed a method of system trading to
generate profits that make him the envy of many
of his peers. He has taken over eight years
of discretionary trading experience and systematized
his activities to realize excellent profit levels.
His Global Diversified Futures fund, based in
Nevada, finished up 10.03% in its first year
(2004), while the 3X program finished up 38.09%.
By mid 2005, these new programs were up 3.39%
and 9.88% respectively.
His desire to play this very competitive game
stems from his athletic background. An accomplished
hockey player all of his young life, in 1995
he served as a key member of the University
of Maine hockey team, which made it to NCAA
championship game. While a serious injury
effectively ended his hockey career, Dekker
already knew that he wanted to pursue a career
in trading. He often compares the discipline
necessary to be an accomplished athlete with
the dedication necessary to be a successful
market trader.
As he so colorfully stated in a recent interview,
“Trading is a very competitive field;
you eat what you kill.” He always wanted
to go into a competitive field that would
challenge him on a consistent basis. He and
his clients are thrilled he made the correct
choice.
After earning a degree in Finance from the
University of Lethridge (Alberta, Canada),
Dekker landed a position at the brokerage
firm NDX, based in Minneapolis. While apprenticing
there, he learned a short-term breakout strategy
from the firm’s principal that targeted
securities that were enjoying new apex prices.
He learned so well that in a matter of months
he was earning more than his teacher. Almost
as soon as he started his own trading, he
began earning $500-$700 per trades wherein
the principal was making $10-$30,000 on identical
trades. Dekker notes, “I knew quickly
I was on the right track.”
In 1999 he opened his own firm after multiplying
his original capital by 40-fold in only 18
months of trading at NDX! On his own, he continued
concentrating on the short-term breakout philosophy
he developed while at his former employer.
He credits his original mentor for launching
his career, but he quickly outperformed the
teacher.
Less than 2 years later, he connected with
another mentor at a Caribbean hedge fund conference.
His name is Ed Seykota,
who suggested Dekker
to modify his trading philosophy and shift
his focus from short-term to a long-term systematic
trading mentality. As professionals in all
industries are either happily or, sometimes,
painfully aware, timing often plays a major
role in their careers. Dekker’s situation
at this time was no different. He was not
only open to new avenues; he was actively
looking for something different.
Jason was looking to become more scientific
with respect to his risk control, Ed suggested
he take everything Jason does . . . and plug
it into a computer; then test it. Learn what
works and what does not.” After exhausting
analysis, he already knew that the volatility
experienced by recent markets was beginning
to flatten and short-term, quick hit opportunities
were decreasing at the same time. Dekker’s
solution was to systematize his entire operation.
After testing the longer time frame called
for with his new philosophy, he realized that
profits increased. In addition, these gains
occurred using lower drawdowns and with an
almost 50% reduction in the number of trades.
Disregarding short-term trends and lengthening
his trade time horizon, his results were much
more consistent. He proudly states, This methodology
seemed to work across all markets. He actively
began live testing of his systemization with
his proprietary capital, waiting an additional
4 months to begin trading client assets.
Not content with merely developing a new time
horizon strategy, he also created his own
list of “global money management”
rules. Dekker does not use a “value
at risk” matrix or define a “maximum
risk component” for a variety of sectors.
He does digest and process every signal offered
by the markets he studies. When he enters
a trade, he has a money management ‘stop’
and he already has a trailing exit strategy.
This allows him to analyze each market sector
with an action plan in place for timely implementation.
As a sector evolves and moves forward and
as he gets more and more signals from the
sector, he keeps adding exposure. When that
exposure reaches a certain limit (either a
percentage of the total asset mix or as a
percentage of the total equity at risk), he
then restricts and tightens up his exit methodology.
As an example, if he were using a 150-day
moving average as his index and exit frame,
he might “tighten” his index to
a 10-20 day index when he finds potential
overexposure in a particular sector. The system,
the system, the system.
He believes he is giving himself the opportunity
to accept increased exposure without the normal
inherent incremental risk. Instead of using
most competitors’ philosophy of restricting
risk, he keeps taking positions and adjusting
the risk. He is trying to capture profits
in a parabolic market. In so doing, he allows
himself to get overweighed in a sector and
the markets that turn down first are the ones
he gets out of first. He finds this a very
effective manifestation of his theories.
So what market sectors does Dekker favor?
He trades currencies, energies, grains, metals,
meats, softs, and stock indices. He has a
deep affection for futures as they are a)
very liquid, and b) he believes they “trend”
better than the other markets. While some
may disagree with that theory, it has worked
for him.
Shortly, Dekker Capital will unveil a new
program designed to add effective leverage
on drawdowns. His theory states that the best
time to invest with a trend follower is in
a drawdown environment. Like his mentor Ed
Seykota, Jason is now a very strong proponent
of systemization. A long-term trend following
strategy is one of the hardest strategies
to trade, but if you stay with it consistently,
the results will also be consistent from year
to year. Jason strongly feels that the most
consistent traders are those that choose to
adopt a systemized approach to their trades
and money management philosophies, as he believes
he has proven in the recent past.